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Category: Retirement Income Planning

Should You Expect Dividend Cuts?

Should You Expect Dividend Cuts?

The predictions for dividend cuts sounded dire for quite some time. Many were predicting cuts of between 20%-30% here in the U.S. The jury is still out for now, but it doesn’t seem as likely based on what the data has shown thus far from Janus Henderson in their Global Dividend Index report. Here is their record of dividend cuts with regard to global dividends: Global dividends fell $108.1bn to $382.2bn in the second quarter. The headline 22.0% decline (19.3%…

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Rethinking Investment Risk in Retirement

Rethinking Investment Risk in Retirement

NOTE: I originally published this post just before the COVID market decline on 19 February. As markets have returned to near-record levels, I wanted to bring the post back to the top of the feed because if you felt yourself rethinking your investment strategy through the COVID decline, I think this article might help you in preparing for whatever might come next. Investors love to talk about risk. What’s the downside risk? How can you hedge your risk? How can…

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Why Study Market History?

Why Study Market History?

While I am personally not an advocate of active investing, I follow the writing of many active managers. There are a few who have both a wonderful way with the written word and a track record to boot. Bill Miller of Miller Value Partners is one of them. I wanted to both make you aware of his work and point out a few insightful excerpts from his most recent 2Q 2020 Market Letter. Here are a few pieces of his…

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Where do we go from here?

Where do we go from here?

I have said before that the primary goal of successful retirement income investing isn’t growth OR income, but growth OF income. For people who are nearing retirement today, as we look over the horizon toward the thirty years that lie ahead, we must ask the question: Is it time to rethink the conventional wisdom of decades past? Historically, the popular answer for providing retirement income (though not necessarily the correct answer) has been bonds. During the past 30 years, this…

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Perceived Safety of Bonds

Perceived Safety of Bonds

Imagine standing in the middle of a field as a thunderstorm starts to roll through. About 50 yards away is a tall solitary tree. As someone who grew up in farming country, we grew up knowing that standing underneath the tree is the absolute worst thing we could do, even if it feels safer. The smart thing to do is to make yourself as small as possible by laying down on the ground, preferably farther away from the tree. At…

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The Stock Market and Predictions

The Stock Market and Predictions

Predictably unpredictable and unpredictably predictable. This is the market in a nutshell. The markets are predictably unpredictable because the market has a way of surprising the greatest number of people. Few people (nobody) saw the market returning 29% in 2019. I realize that’s a distant memory now, but it was still surprising, to say the least. Just as surely, nobody saw an economic shutdown caused by a global pandemic that resulted in the swiftest recession in stock market history. And…

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2020 Required Minimum Distributions

2020 Required Minimum Distributions

For those who aren’t aware, the CARES Act had already waived 2020 Required Minimum Distributions (RMD). But there was a slight oversight with regard to people who had already taken their RMDs as many retirees do in January each year. Well, last week, the IRS announced that for anyone who already took their RMDs for 2020 can roll those assets back into their retirement account as long as it is done by 31 August 2020 as the 60-day rollover period…

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Preparing For “What-Ifs”

Preparing For “What-Ifs”

We are now a little more than two months out from the bear market lows. As the swift recovery ensued, I started hearing stories of investors who sold out of their portfolios around DJIA 19,000 “because the market was going lower.” They were right for the blink of an eye. With the market now back above 26,000, when are those investors supposed to get back in? I have to pose the question because getting back in is always the hardest…

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Dividend Bear Markets

Dividend Bear Markets

An astute reader of last week’s blog post, Equities in Retirement: A 30-Year Case Study, asked a great question: “How much of a maximum decline in annual dividend income (based on prior historical experience) should one be prepared for?” In other words, during dividend bear markets, what level of income decline should we expect? The obvious answer is that I do not know because even the worst-case historical event is only the benchmark until something even worse comes along. So,…

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Equities in Retirement: A 30-Year Case Study

Equities in Retirement: A 30-Year Case Study

Whenever I ask soon-to-be retirees what the ultimate goal of investing in retirement is, the most common answer I hear is: I don’t want to run out of money. Pretty straightforward, right? Here’s the problem. When I ask many of those same individuals what the primary objective of their retirement portfolio is, this is the typical response: Preservation of principal. Whether retirees realize this or not, those two goals run almost exactly counter to one another. If your goal is…

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